I'm not sure if there's another golf course in the world where I know every hole, where I can sketch it in my mind as you're talking about it. I know every contour, every distance to every trouble area, the minefields you need to navigate. Pebble Beach and St. Andrews come close; Kiawah because I've played it. But Augusta is the rare course where nearly every hole stands out. They're named, of course, which adds to the mystique, but there's hardly a dud across the 18 holes of

Welcome in friends, the goal of this written preview is to pack in as much data-driven actual information about what matters at Augusta National, both in terms of creating a winning DFS lineup, and picking the winner. We will sort through all of the noise, and by the end, hopefully all of your questions are answered. The article will follow the same format that I’ve do every week, but we are going to pay some extra attention to both trends that are actually relevant, as well

This is a simple list stating where I think the market is for each player at the masters. I have nothing to say about the olds, amateurs (mostly) and some other guys in the 6’s. I did not include anyone who I think is a reasonable play for me. No Vijay Singh or Freddy Couples for me thanks. Scottie (14.0) - very cold; I think the market still has not seen enough for him to warrant this price tag; I think this is likely a pretty low ownership spot based on this weekend. Most

Weather This is certainly one of the more extreme forecasts I’ve seen in quite some time, and especially after far too of an aggressive move at Houston last week on the over, I’m taking a more conservative approach this week. The potential for rain and delays loom large here, and Sunday looks particularly awful from a rain perspective, so let’s focus on what we do know and can control, which is the super forecast across Thursday and Friday. To me, this looks like AM/PM should

Former Winners 2025: Brian Harman (-9) over Ryan Gerard (-6) Winner Odds: Harman (80/1) Scoring Average: +0.98 2024: Akshay Bhatia (-20) over Denny McCarthy (-20) Winner Odds: Bhatia (60/1) Scoring Average: +0.29 2023: Corey Conners (-15) over Sam Stevens (-14) Winner Odds: Conners (22/1) Scoring Average: +0.01 2022: J.J. Spaun (-13) over Matt Kuchar (-11) Winner Odds: Spaun (140/1) Scoring Average: -0.31 2021: Jordan Spieth (-18) over Charley Hoffman (-16) Winner Odds: Sp

Weather I don’t see a whole lot here and I would say I’m a bit surprised that Datagolf is reflecting a wave edge for AM/PM. I would probably still lean towards AM/PM, but the slight wind gusts that are picking up on Thursday afternoon do not even begin under 5:00 PM when that entire wave is finishing their round anyway. I don’t think there is much there to be honest. I would much rather attack the winning score prop, which Steve and I have both bet and comment on the fact tha

Overview If you want to see professional golfers get put in a blender at one of the most insane golf courses in the world, this is the best week of the year. The Gary Player Course at DLF Golf and Country Club will host the Indian Open on the DPWT for the fourth year in a row and has developed a reputation for ridiculous golf. DLF is a 7,416-yard par 72 that features highly contoured Bermuda greens (some holes have two greens), narrow fairway corridors lined by dense jungle,

Former Winners 2025: Min Woo Lee (-20) over Gary Woodland, Scottie Scheffler (-19) Winner Odds: Lee (35/1) Scoring Average: -1.31 2024: Stephan Jaeger (-12) over Tony Finau, Thomas Detry, Alejandro Tosti, Scottie Scheffler, Taylor Moore (-11) Winner Odds: Jaeger (45/1) Scoring Average: +0.01 2023: Tony Finau (-16) over Tyson Alexander (-12) Winner Odds: Finau (16/1) Scoring Average: +0.66 2022: Jason Kokrak (-10) over Kevin Tway, Scottie Scheffler (-8) Winner Odds: Kokrak (

Weather There’s a lot of good news in this weather report. The early week rain was not half as significant as the early forecast displayed, and the course should be just as firm as we have seen over the last couple years at this event. Secondly, Thursday and Friday mornings look near identical from a wind standpoint, and while Friday afternoon looks a touch easier than Thursday afternoon, I would not say the difference is strong enough for me to advocate for a wave advantage.

I took a few minutes to expand on something I will be looking at for this week called the Manlati/Moore Corollary (Gained on Approach, good finishes at Sawgrass leading into Valspar). I brought it up on the show that Taylor Moore and Peter Malnati had good ball striking form leading in with made cuts at The Players prior to Valspar. I like this trend and will use it to build a pool and have already used it for my betting card. Below is a list of players that gained more than

The DPWT begins the Asian swing with the Hainan Classic at the Mission Hills Resort Haikou in China. The Blackstone Course hosted this event last year (and the 2011 world cup of golf won by Gary Woodland and Matt Kuchar), but this year there is a change to a Pro-am format. The first 36 holes are split over the Blackstone and Vintage courses at Mission Hills before staying on the Blackstone for the weekend. The Blackstone course is a very lengthy 7,637 par 72 despite being dow

Former Winners 2025: Viktor Hovland (-11) over Justin Thomas (-10) Scoring Average: +0.65 Winner Odds: Hovland (60/1) 2024: Peter Malnati (-12) over Cameron Young (-10) Scoring Average: +0.39 Winner Odds: Malnati (330/1) 2023: Taylor Moore (-10) over Adam Schenk (-9) Scoring Average: +0.92 Winner Odds: Moore (60/1) 2022: Sam Burns (-17) over Davis Riley (-17) (Playoff) Scoring Average: -0.76 Winner Odds: Burns (21/1) 2021: Sam Burns (-17) over Keegan Bradley (-14) Scoring A

Weather There has been much discussion about the weather this week and I would absolutely say that this is one of the most variable forecasts I have seen in awhile, at an even that is already prone to unforeseen weather circumstances. The prevailing narrative this week has been that AM/PM has an advantage, and I would agree with that for the most part, mainly because Friday morning looks awful. Yet what somewhat balances that out is that Thursday morning has extreme wind gust

Former Winners 2025: Rory McIlroy (-12) over J.J. Spaun (-12) (Playoff) Winner Odds: McIlroy (11/1) Scoring Average: +0.65 2024: Scottie Scheffler (-20) over Xander Schauffele (-19) Winner Odds: Scheffler (+550) Scoring Average: -0.72 2023: Scottie Scheffler (-17) over Tyrrell Hatton (-12) Winner Odds: Scheffler (10/1) Scoring Average: +0.07 2022: Cameron Smith (-13) over Anirban Lahiri (-12) Winner Odds: Smith (33/1) Scoring Average: +0.35 2021: Justin Thomas (-14) over Le

General Notes/Rounds 1-3 I will group these together because the format is essentially the same: all you need is scoring birdies, streaks, avoiding bogeys, which is essentially the same as classic from a formatting standpoint for the first 3 rounds. You can talk to players who believe the edge is bigger in these rounds. For some, that may be true. I don’t necessarily see it that way. Round 1 in particular I don’t love at all unless there is a significant wave advantage and ra

Weather To me, these look like fairly straightforward Bay Hill conditions that would fall in line with the scoring average we have seen over the last three years. Last year, we saw a brutal day one, followed by an overall scoring average of close to around even par. I would not expect any of the days to be brutal, but even par would surprise me as well. Bay Hill has seen very little rain both during tournament week, but that could be offset with the friendlier wind direction

Scottie rules If Scottie, then no Min Woo Lee/Scott/Bridgeman/Coody/Nicolai H/Ryan G If Scottie, then maximum 1 7K player (would do this if I did not set rule 1) If Scottie, then at least 2 8K players in the lineup If Scottie, then at least 3 6K players in the lineup Saw this get third in a contest we just 2 wks ago; don’t love it as much this wk If Scottie, then at least 1 player that is above average salary I argue if I played Scottie, I would want this level of aggression

We end the African swing with the Joburg Open which is held at Houghton Golf Club for the fourth season in a row. The first two times were held at the beginning of the wrap-around season in November 2022 and 2023, before last year’s move to March (with no event in 2024 as part of the date change). Houghton is a 7,241 yard par 70 that plays shorter due to being at an altitude of 5,500 feet which has an impact of around 6-7%. It is a tree-lined parkland style golf course with n

Former Winners 2025: Russell Henley (-11) over Collin Morikawa (-10) Winner Odds: Henley (45/1) Scoring Average: +0.43 2024: Scottie Scheffler (-15) over Wyndham Clark (-10) Winner Odds: Scheffler (+650) Scoring Average: +0.37 2023: Kurt Kitayama (-9) over Rory McIlroy, Harris English (-8) Winner Odds: Kitayama (250/1) Scoring Average: +0.61 2022: Scottie Scheffler (-5) over Billy Horschel (-4) Winner Odds: Scheffler (18/1) Scoring Average: +2.04 2021: Bryson DeChambeau (-1

Weather Although I had initially thought that AM/PM would see a quarter stroke edge, I would almost flip that given Steve’s updated weather predictions and the super forecast. This largely stems from the fact that the difference between Friday AM and Friday PM (in terms of the morning being easier) appears much easier to bank on than the difference between Thursday AM and Thursday PM. On Thursday morning, players are still going to have to play through a drizzle and see wind